Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 295.691615 335.298957 379.569388 432.966571 495.952338 568.284077 658.208214
2025-02-02 247.786596 302.349084 369.217303 458.275066 575.420525 726.608388 940.422715
2025-02-09 213.077355 272.386827 349.519470 459.252485 614.829019 833.048832 1172.715931
2025-02-16 184.793225 244.576489 325.885733 447.594222 630.667943 905.394711 1368.793829
2025-02-23 164.200294 223.654036 307.593766 438.784447 646.497887 977.413915 1577.996840
2025-03-02 153.047951 214.230274 303.757325 449.684408 692.761116 1104.177766 1909.940330
2025-03-09 141.150209 202.127346 294.078949 449.425950 719.839544 1202.702585 2216.136235
2025-03-16 129.124925 188.459416 280.225746 440.060922 729.066244 1269.995259 2478.241349
2025-03-23 120.963664 179.893662 273.350400 441.188401 756.624543 1376.468404 2855.305343
2025-03-30 111.859156 168.949287 261.391411 431.717928 762.499807 1440.336309 3154.231422
2025-04-06 105.244743 161.442410 254.364016 430.089982 783.049537 1538.667721 3571.210593
2025-04-13 96.099128 149.010729 237.786628 408.777310 760.549924 1537.728764 3725.467458
2025-04-20 93.803289 148.090675 241.433591 426.881002 824.350366 1751.867130 4582.310949
2025-04-27 92.480520 148.731839 247.937006 451.538096 907.347927 2036.028464 5805.738670
2025-05-04 88.032192 143.487522 243.110007 452.505010 936.737996 2190.959108 6685.558284
2025-05-11 82.438072 135.766727 232.948643 441.057004 934.788516 2260.472462 7293.049584
2025-05-18 77.691905 129.253548 224.545498 432.405469 938.308422 2347.002342 8022.531446
2025-05-25 75.557585 127.388056 224.969836 443.109550 992.571237 2600.372557 9640.153489
2025-06-01 72.390280 123.357067 220.754749 442.855750 1018.256305 2772.957853 11022.881415
2025-06-08 68.554193 117.804781 213.037402 433.659062 1018.259107 2861.807378 12057.566633
2025-06-15 66.026278 114.600914 209.857299 434.766318 1047.249285 3059.969630 13875.047198
2025-06-22 62.700441 109.641528 202.666790 425.465339 1044.902101 3145.842993 15114.231775
2025-06-29 60.305848 106.371574 198.788096 423.866441 1065.160865 3324.085908 17146.717713